Pete Yorn's aptly named "Music for the Morning After" and coffee and blog skimming make a pleasant enough morning to almost make up for sleeping through my alarm for an HOUR this morning! Ok Megan, stop procrastinating by writing here and go add to those 17 dissertation pages!
Saturday, February 16, 2008
Thursday, February 14, 2008
So it turns out that the my-boyfriend-just-broke-up-with-me care package is shockingly similar to the my-test-results-just-came-back-and-they're-bad care package (I'm fine, and my dear friend who is being vaguely referenced will be fine, but it's going to be a rough patch). Sigh. This part of growing up I could certainly do without!
Monday, February 11, 2008
I'm using my best willpower to avoid saying something snarky about the Republican party and their propensity to not want to count votes...oh wait, I just ruined it, didn't I? Darn! Anyway, Mark, over at Good Math Bad Math has a nice wrap-up of why things seem fishy in Washington, and not just because of Pike's Place Market.
The state party has been making the argument that McCain won - that with that number of votes counted, statisticaly, there was no way that Huckabee could make up the difference, and so they could fairly declare the winner. Their "methodology" for this conclusion was: "Let's take every county where Huckabee is beating McCain, and double the margin of victory. Then let's take every county where McCain is winning, and half that margin of victory. Even if you assume that, Sen. McCain still holds on."
As statistical methodology goes, that's absolute garbage. But worse, it's clearly a lie - because despite claiming to have done that analysis, the officials in the state party admit that they have no idea what parts of the state weren't fully counted. No clue, not about counties, voting precincts, nothing. But they want you to believe that they did this "careful" analysis on a county-by-county basis.
Let's take a quick look at the arithmetic of it. Assume that the reported percentages accurately represent the percentage of voters in the unreported discricts - so that the counted votes - the 13,475 votes counted - represent 87% of the republican voters. Then the expected total republican electorate would be about 15,500 voters - leaving about 2,000 votes left uncounted. For those votes to swing the election to Huckabee, he would have needed to win roughly 1,135 votes - that is, to win the uncounted districts by about 6%.
Is it likely that Huckabee won the remaining districts by 6%? Not particularly. Is it
possible that he won them by 6%? Absolutely.
So - I absolutely wouldn't rule out the possibility of fraud. There's no mathematical reason Huckabee couldn't have won, and there's no reasonable explanation for the insane behaviour of the party officials in charge of the vote. Something fishy sure seems to be going on.
McSweeney's Extravaganza Update
Thanks to procrastinating by surfing around on Found's website I found (tee-hee) their events page (featuring a blurry Rothbart in the same sweatshirt he wore down south) which links to random WV sword-swallowing guy, who is, it turns out, named Brett Loudermilk. So there's a little linky-link for him.
I finally finished the Dark Materials trilogy and was sorely disappointed by the ending. Pullman is pretty unabashedly against organized religion, and the Christian/Catholic Church in particular. But he's also not atheist (or at least, the theme of his books isn't anti-God), which is fine, of course, but somehow just didn't work for me as a plot device. I felt like the book needed more commitment, because what it ended up doing was just suggesting a replacement for the current structure, and not in any sort of novel or interesting, or even fully developed or detailed way. I don't know. Parts of the story were so interesting and satisfying, but I'm just not sure I can get over my disappointment in the ending enough to actually recommend the trilogy.
I started It Can't Happen Here, by Sinclair Lewis. I'm only a chapter in, but so far thoroughly satisfying. I guess I had to get to a place where I was starting to feel hopeful about the world again before I could face reading a treatise on all the ways that America keeps sliding toward fascism.
And speaking of hope, I have also continued to dip into The Impossible Will Take a Little While, and although I was unimpressed with the first section ("Seeds of the Possible") I am smitten with the second ("Dark Before the Dawn") featuring selections by Howard Zinn
Not a customary finale to a class in political theory, but I wanted the class to understand that politics is pointless if it does nothing to enhance the beauty of our lives. Political discussion can sour you. We needed some music.
To be hopeful in bad times is not just foolishly romantic. It is based on the fact that human history is a history not only of cruelty, but also of compassion, sacrifice, courage, kindness. What we choose to emphasize in this complex history will determine our lives. If we see only the worst, it destroys our capacity to do something. If we remember those times and places - and there are so many - where people have behaved magnificently, this gives us the energy to act, and at least the possibility of sending this spinning top of a world in a different direction. And if we do act, in however small a way, we don't have to wait for some grand utopian future. The future is an infinite succession of presents, and to live now as we think human beings should live, in defiance of all that is bad around us, is itself a marvelous victory.
Nelson Mandela, and Vaclav Havel
Hope, in this deep and powerful sense, is not the same as joy that things are going well, or willingness to invest in enterprises that are obviously headed for early success, but, rather, an ability to work for something because it is good, not just because it stands a chance to succeed.
It is not the conviction that something will turn out well, but the certainty that something makes sense, regardless of how it turns out.
Maybe just because it's on my mind, but it's almost as if they're referring to Obama.
was kind of weird, with the prospective students, and getting made to feel (and called directly) old, but c'est la vie, I suppose.
A highlight was the McSweeney's Literary Extravaganza, featuring Eli Horowitz, Arkansas author John Brandon, some dude from my home town who swallowed swords (and a screw driver!), and Davy Rothbart of Found Magazine and This American Life. The two students with whom I hit it off came with me, and we laughed ourselves sick. All the men were hilarious, but Rothbart was my favorite, who told a vicious-yet-wonderful story about all the horrible tricks he and his brothers used to play on his deaf mother (the happy ending is that she now knows about all these things and thinks they're pretty funny too).
gave a lecture yesterday on the autobiography of the novel. Highlights include:
- Attempting to get out of the army by claiming to be insane has a catch, in that "a man who wants to get out of the army cannot be insane."
- "My parents used to joke that I was born, and 8 weeks later the British ran away. And really, how funny of a joke is that?"
- if you're going to write novels about India and/or Pakistan, you have to reckon with religion, even if you yourself are not religious. "One such reckoning was Midnight's Children. And that went well."
- "What you should know is that the time is going to come when you don't have a book to write, and yet you have to write a book." Vonnegut to Rushdie, early '80s.
- "I once wrote, got into trouble for it, just for a change, that the British didn't completely understand their history because so much of it happened on foreign soil."
- In the context of comparing fictional novels that contain truthful bits and allegedly non-fiction memoirs that contain fictional bits, Rushdie told a story about a female non-fiction writer who once claimed, "It was a metaphor for how unhappy I felt." To which he replies, "Not knowing the difference between a metaphor and a lie is one definition of insanity."
- talked about his suspicion that Shakespear destroyed all of his notes, letters, drafts, etc. himself so that only the works themselves survived, because he knew the value of letting the work stand on its own, without the 'higher gossip' about his own personal life. "'Was Shakespeare good in bed?' is, I fear, one of the great unanswered questions." But Rushdie suspects that the answer is yes, he was good at that too.
All in all, as usual, a riotously good time. Rushdie is pretty clearly an asshole, but a damn funny one at that.
Oh, and AWB - he mentioned Tristam Shandy, along with Robinson Crusoe and Gulliver's Travels, as the best books of the 18th C.